盘中反转！铂、钯价格走势分化 原因是？

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in platinum and palladium futures prices are influenced by external market dynamics, with significant price movements observed on December 25, leading to a divergence in their performance [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 25, platinum futures opened significantly lower but reached a new high, with the main contract closing at 686.95 yuan/gram, an increase of 4.51%, while palladium futures closed at 529.05 yuan/gram, down 7.65% [1]. - The trading volume and market activity for platinum and palladium have increased, prompting the exchange to implement measures to guide rational trading and stabilize the market [1][2]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - Analysts attribute the recent price increases in platinum and palladium to a combination of macroeconomic conditions, tightening physical supply, and rising bullish sentiment, with prices having risen over 40% since mid-December [2]. - The widening price gap between domestic and international markets for platinum and palladium indicates a strong bullish atmosphere, with the price difference expanding from 57 yuan/gram and 43 yuan/gram in mid-December to over 110 yuan/gram [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The long-term outlook for palladium remains challenged due to demand suppression from the transition to electric vehicles, with no substantial improvement in its supply-demand fundamentals [3]. - In contrast, platinum's supply concentration and geopolitical tensions, particularly between South Africa and the U.S., could significantly impact global supply, providing better support for platinum prices compared to palladium [3]. - The current market phase for platinum and palladium is characterized by high volatility and sensitivity, necessitating careful risk management and position control for traders [3].