币圈老吕：未来一到两年如何正确看待比特币涨跌，以太坊以空为主

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that Ethereum is experiencing significant price fluctuations, with a larger range of volatility compared to Bitcoin, leading to increased risks for retail investors [1][2] - The analysis suggests that Bitcoin's price must remain below $90,000 for bullish opportunities to be considered, while Ethereum is expected to continue oscillating between $2,700 and $3,000 [1][2] - The market manipulation is evident, with price movements occurring predictably at specific times, indicating a coordinated effort to control the market [1] Group 2 - For Ethereum, key support levels are identified at $2,380 and $2,120, with the former being suitable for medium-term trades and the latter for long-term positions [3] - The analysis emphasizes that a significant price drop of at least 70% from previous highs is necessary before a new bull market can begin, with a target of around $4,120 before a potential bear market [3] - Bitcoin is waiting for a daily divergence opportunity at $74,200 to initiate a new bull market, with resistance levels identified between $108,000 and $110,000 [5] Group 3 - The strategy for both cryptocurrencies remains cautious, focusing on short positions unless strong bullish signals are observed [5][6] - The analysis of gold indicates a continued bullish outlook, with expectations for prices to reach around $2,000, reinforcing the preference for gold over cryptocurrencies [6]