Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic equipment sector in A-shares has seen a significant rise due to major silicon wafer companies raising their prices, improving industry profit expectations and reflecting strong terminal demand with a 41.9% year-on-year increase in solar power generation capacity as of the end of November [1][8]. Price Adjustments - On December 25, four leading silicon wafer companies collectively raised their prices, with 183N wafers priced at 1.4 yuan per piece, 210RN at 1.5 yuan per piece, and 210N at 1.7 yuan per piece, resulting in an average increase of 12% [4]. - The price increase is attributed to significant rises in upstream silicon material costs, with the average transaction price for multi-crystalline silicon n-type raw materials at 53,900 yuan per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.32% [5]. Market Dynamics - The slight increase in multi-crystalline silicon prices and moderate transaction volume indicate a gradual recovery of market confidence, with expectations for both volume and price stabilization in the near term [6]. - The cost pressures from rising prices are being passed down to downstream components, with leading companies like LONGi Green Energy and JinkoSolar raising their prices by 0.02 to 0.05 yuan per watt [6]. Industry Actions - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a "de-involution" initiative, with the establishment of a platform for integrating and acquiring multi-crystalline silicon capacity to address excessive competition [8]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has indicated a focus on capacity regulation and the orderly exit of outdated capacities, aiming to enhance industry standards and reduce price competition [8]. Demand and Growth - As of the end of November, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.79 billion kilowatts, with solar power capacity exceeding 1.16 billion kilowatts, marking a substantial year-on-year growth of 41.9% [8]. - The cumulative scale of solar power generation from January to November was 27.489 million kilowatts, with an additional installed capacity of 2.202 million kilowatts in November alone [8]. Future Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is expected to experience a positive trend, with improvements in profitability across the main industry chain and a gradual recovery of the pricing system [9]. - Despite potential slowdowns in new installations and supply-demand imbalances in 2026, the ongoing de-involution efforts are anticipated to accelerate market clearing and reshape the industry landscape [9].
曙“光”再现?龙头联手挺价引爆光伏行情