Core Viewpoint - Japan is expected to achieve its first basic fiscal surplus since 1998 in the fiscal year 2026, as the government approved a record budget of 122.3 trillion yen, balancing strong economic growth with fiscal discipline [1] Group 1: Fiscal Surplus and Budget - The initial budget for the national government is projected to achieve a basic fiscal surplus of 1.34 trillion yen [1] - Achieving a fiscal surplus has been a goal for the Japanese government for over two decades, with the initial target set for the fiscal year 2011 [4] - The upcoming release of complete data, including local government figures, is expected to confirm this milestone [4] Group 2: Debt Management and Market Response - The issuance of super-long-term bonds will be reduced to 17.4 trillion yen, a decrease of nearly one-fifth from the previous year, marking the lowest level in 17 years [5] - The total issuance of government bonds for the new fiscal year is set at 180.7 trillion yen, a nearly 5% decrease from the current fiscal year [5] - The debt dependency ratio has dropped to 24.2%, the lowest level since 1998, as new bond issuance is controlled below 30 trillion yen for the first time [6] Group 3: Revenue and Expenditure Dynamics - Tax revenue is expected to grow by 7.6% to a record 83.7 trillion yen, providing a crucial funding source for new expenditures [7] - Debt repayment costs are projected to rise by 10.8% to 31.3 trillion yen, reflecting the pressures of exiting ultra-loose monetary policy [7] - The government is increasingly focusing on reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio rather than solely on achieving a basic fiscal surplus [4]
史上最大预算案通过后,日本称明年将实现28年来首次财政盈余
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-12-26 12:57