土耳其计划2026年小幅加税 力争压燃料价格来抗击通胀

Group 1 - The Turkish government plans to implement slight tax increases on key goods and services, including fuel, by 2026 to help the central bank control inflation, aiming for a target of 16% by the end of next year [1] - Fuel tax increases will be moderated to align with the central bank's inflation target, indicating a commitment from the government to support the central bank's efforts [1][2] - The special consumption tax on gasoline and diesel is typically adjusted twice a year, with the upcoming adjustments expected to be lower than the legal thresholds, reflecting the government's attempt to mitigate price pressures [1][3] Group 2 - The Turkish Finance and Treasury Minister stated that some tax increases will be based on the target inflation rate rather than the 25.5% revaluation rate, which aligns with producer price inflation [2] - Economists predict that consumer price inflation in Turkey could reach around 30% by the end of the year, significantly above the central bank's target of 24% for 2025 [2] - The central bank is currently in a disinflation process, having recently lowered the one-week repo policy rate from 39.5% to 38% [2] Group 3 - High inflation in Turkey, approximately 31.1% year-on-year as of November 2025, is attributed to the depreciation of the lira, sticky inflation expectations, and administrative price adjustments [3] - The legacy of previous economic policies, characterized by interest rate cuts and credit expansion in a high inflation environment, has contributed to the current inflationary spiral, often referred to as "Erdoganomics" [3]