金晟富：12.27黄金市场周评！下周黄金趋势展望参考

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the importance of position control in trading, suggesting that managing positions effectively can lead to stable profits and minimize losses during market fluctuations [1] - Recent trends indicate that international gold prices have surged over 4% in the past four trading days, reaching a new historical high, driven by declining attractiveness of alternative assets like U.S. Treasuries and ongoing market uncertainty [2][3] - The market is currently pricing in an 82.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in its January 2026 meeting, with significant shifts expected in the probabilities for the March 2026 meeting, reflecting ongoing uncertainty regarding monetary policy [2] Group 2 - Gold remains a highly recognized safe-haven asset, with its demand closely linked to market confidence indicators, such as the CNN Fear and Greed Index, which has recently shown a recovery but is now stabilizing at a neutral level [3] - The decline in U.S. Treasury yields, which have dropped from 4.2% to around 4.1%, is expected to reduce the relative attractiveness of fixed-income assets, potentially driving more capital towards gold as a safe-haven investment [3] - Technical analysis of gold indicates a strong bullish structure, with prices supported above key levels, suggesting that traders should wait for pullbacks to enter long positions rather than chasing highs [4][6]