Buy the Dip on This Logistics Leader Before Its Next Leg of Compounding Growth Kicks In

Core Viewpoint - UPS has seen a significant decline in its stock price, down over 50% from its peak, leading to a high dividend yield of 6.5%. The company faces challenges such as high labor costs, tariffs, and a strategic shift away from reliance on Amazon [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Decisions - UPS has decided to cut the volumes it ships for Amazon by over 50% by the end of next year, despite Amazon contributing 20% to 25% of its volume, as these shipments have low profit margins [4]. - The company is undergoing a major restructuring to cut $3.5 billion in costs by the end of this year, which includes reducing headcount and closing locations. Additionally, UPS is investing in more profitable business lines, such as healthcare logistics, highlighted by its $1.6 billion acquisition of Andlauer Healthcare Group [5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the third quarter, UPS experienced a revenue decline of 3.7% and a 1.1% drop in adjusted earnings per share. However, there are signs of improvement, with U.S. revenue per piece growing by 9.8% and a slight increase in domestic operating margin [6]. - UPS has provided a better-than-expected outlook for the fourth quarter, indicating potential recovery as some headwinds begin to fade [7].