Industry Overview - The outdoor recreation industry generated over $1.2 trillion in annual economic output by the end of 2023, accounting for more than 2.3% of total U.S. GDP [2] - More than 3% of the U.S. workforce is employed in outdoor services, totaling over 5 million jobs in 2023 [2] - The industry has shown strong growth since the availability of COVID-19 vaccines in 2021, primarily catering to high-net-worth clients [6] Company Performance - Winnebago Industries Inc. experienced a significant sales boom during the COVID-19 pandemic, but its stock has declined over 50% since reaching an all-time high in March 2021 due to slowing sales and rare earnings beats [4] - Winnebago has recently shown signs of a turnaround, posting three consecutive earnings beats, including a fiscal Q1 2026 report with over 12% year-over-year revenue growth [5] - The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $2.8 billion to $3 billion, despite facing tariff threats [5] Stock Analysis - Winnebago's stock trades at 12 times forward earnings and 0.43 times sales, with shares up nearly 30% in the last three months [9] - A technical analysis indicates a trend reversal, with the 50-day simple moving average crossing above the 200-day simple moving average, forming a Golden Cross [9] - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has also reversed, confirming the new uptrend and suggesting strong buying momentum [9]
Fresh Air, Fresh Highs: 3 Premium Outdoor Brands with 2026 Tailwinds