沪指八连阳开启跨年行情？关注中证A500ETF（159338）

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has achieved a strong eight consecutive days of gains, stabilizing above 3900 points, with the Wind All A Index rising by 2.78%, the CSI 500 increasing by 2.75%, and the CSI 2000 up by 3.06% [1] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.95 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 250 billion yuan compared to the previous week [1] Industry Analysis - In the CITIC primary industry sectors, most sectors saw gains, with non-ferrous metals and basic chemicals leading the rise, while retail, banking, and coal sectors experienced declines [1] Economic Data - November industrial enterprise profits continued to decline year-on-year, with a drop of 13.1%, marking the lowest level since September 2024. Meanwhile, operating revenue showed a slight recovery with a year-on-year growth rate of -0.3% [2] - The decline in profit growth is primarily attributed to a significant drop in profit margins, despite a slight recovery in industrial growth and stable price factors [2] Funding and Market Sentiment - The margin trading balance rose again, with a weekly average of 2.53 trillion yuan, indicating that market sentiment remains strong [2] - There was a slight outflow of funds from Hong Kong stocks, with a total outflow of 1.175 billion yuan from southbound funds in the past week [2] International Economic Indicators - The U.S. third-quarter GDP data showed a strong growth rate of 4.3%, the fastest in two years, driven by robust consumer spending and a 5.4% increase in business equipment spending, particularly in computer equipment and AI data center investments [4] - Several U.S. officials have reinforced expectations for interest rate cuts, with discussions around adjusting inflation targets to a range [4] - Commodities, especially precious metals, performed strongly, with gold, silver, lithium carbonate, and copper prices rising by 4.41%, 18.31%, 8.12%, and 2.12% respectively [4] Currency Trends - The offshore RMB has strengthened against the U.S. dollar, surpassing the 7.0 mark, reaching a 15-month high, which is expected to enhance the attractiveness of Chinese assets to global capital [5] - The RMB exchange rate is anticipated to maintain a strong trend in the short term, with a potential for moderate appreciation by 2026 [5] Investment Opportunities - The CSI 500 index, which covers leading companies across various sectors, is seen as a balanced investment option for investors looking for defensive and growth potential in a fluctuating market [5] - Investors interested in conveniently accessing core assets across industries may consider the CSI 500 ETF (159338) [5]