美国码农，正被AI「大屠杀」，Karpathy惊呼，26届毕业生崩溃

Core Insights - The employment rate for programmers in the U.S. has plummeted by 27.5%, indicating that nearly one-third of jobs in this sector are disappearing [1][4][37] - The rise of AI tools has led to significant layoffs, with predictions of 1.17 million job losses globally by 2025, marking the highest record since 2020 [1][4] - Young computer science graduates from prestigious institutions like Stanford and Toronto are facing unprecedented challenges in securing employment, with many opting to pursue further studies due to a lack of job opportunities [9][10][12][18] Group 1: Employment Trends - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports a 27.5% drop in programmer employment, while a Stanford study indicates a nearly 20% decline in employment for programmers aged 22 to 25 since the end of 2022 [1][2][9] - AI has caused significant job losses, with approximately 55,000 people unemployed in the U.S. this year due to AI-related layoffs, second only to the impact of the pandemic [4][8] - The job market for 2026 graduates is projected to be the most challenging in decades, with employers expressing heightened pessimism [30][33] Group 2: AI's Impact on the Industry - AI is no longer just a productivity tool but is directly replacing programming roles, leading to a crisis in the software engineering field [8][30] - A report from CodeRabbit reveals that AI-generated code has a bug rate 1.7 times higher than that of human-written code, raising concerns about the quality of AI outputs [35][39] - The nature of programming jobs is shifting, with employers now seeking higher-level thinking skills and a comprehensive understanding of the software development lifecycle, rather than just coding abilities [33][79] Group 3: Challenges for New Graduates - Many recent graduates are struggling to find entry-level positions, with a significant reduction in the share of new hires with less than one year of experience [68][72] - The traditional pathway for junior engineers to gain experience through basic tasks is being disrupted as AI takes over these roles, creating a skills gap for new entrants [64][67] - Employers are increasingly reluctant to invest in training new hires, which could lead to a shortage of mid-level talent in the future [78]