科尼赛克创始人：柴油混动是完美电动汽车替代方案，95%场景电池驱动，长途才靠柴油【附新能源汽车行业市场分析】

Core Viewpoint - Christian von Koenigsegg, founder of Koenigsegg, proposes that diesel hybrid technology could be a "perfect alternative" to pure electric vehicles, particularly for long-distance travel, suggesting that a balanced approach may be more effective than solely focusing on electric vehicles [2][3]. Group 1: Diesel Hybrid Concept - Koenigsegg's diesel hybrid model is designed for specific usage scenarios, where 95% of daily driving is electric, achieving zero emissions, while the diesel engine is only activated for the remaining 5% of long-distance travel to alleviate range anxiety [2]. - This design allows for a significant reduction in battery size, potentially down to one-third of current pure electric models, resulting in a weight reduction of approximately 300 kilograms, which enhances energy efficiency and reduces environmental impact during battery production and recycling [2]. Group 2: Renewable Diesel Fuel - Koenigsegg emphasizes that the diesel component must utilize renewable diesel made from waste animal and plant oils, which can achieve carbon neutrality or even negative emissions, making the overall carbon footprint comparable to or better than that of pure electric vehicles [3]. Group 3: Market Trends and Growth - The global electric vehicle market reached a size of $505.27 billion in 2023, with a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.41% over the past five years, indicating strong growth in the sector [3]. - China, as the largest electric vehicle market, saw sales surge from 12,800 units in 2012 to 9.495 million units in 2023, with a projected 35.5% year-on-year growth to 12.866 million units in 2024 [5]. - By 2024, the penetration rate of electric vehicles in China is expected to reach 44.6%, with projections indicating it could exceed 50% in certain months of 2025, marking a shift from supplementary products to mainstream choices [7]. Group 4: Industry Perspectives - Experts, including Ouyang Minggao, an academician at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, assert that electrification is a well-established strategy that should not be altered, emphasizing the need to focus on next-generation technologies like solid-state batteries [10]. - BYD's chairman Wang Chuanfu highlights that the trend towards electric vehicles is irreversible, noting the rapid pace of change in the Chinese market compared to international counterparts [10]. - Magna's global R&D VP, Joerg Groten, confirms that the future of the automotive industry is undoubtedly electric [10].