海南封关成照妖镜，东南亚国家挨个现行，新加坡直言不准自给自足

Core Viewpoint - Hainan's full closure operation starting December 18, 2025, represents a significant step in China's new phase of opening up, characterized by a policy of "one line open, one line controlled, and free flow within the island" [1][5]. Group 1: Trade and Taxation Policies - Hainan implements a zero-tariff policy on over 6,600 items, covering 74% of all tax categories, a significant increase from the previous 1,900 tax categories [3]. - Goods entering the mainland from Hainan must follow regular tax procedures, with only processed goods that have added value exceeding 30% exempt from import duties [3]. Group 2: Economic Impact and Development Phases - The construction of the free trade port is divided into three phases, with the closure in 2025 being a key milestone aimed at establishing a policy system focused on trade and investment freedom [5]. - Economic effects are already visible, with service import and export totals growing by 23.1% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, despite a 7.7% decline in goods import and export totals [11]. Group 3: Regional and Global Reactions - Neighboring countries, such as Vietnam, are responding to Hainan's closure by accelerating their own free trade zone developments, with plans to establish 6-8 free trade zones by 2030 [13]. - Singapore expresses concern over Hainan's closure, as it may reduce the need for goods to be transshipped through Singapore, impacting its trade-dependent economy [19]. Group 4: Strategic Positioning and Future Prospects - Hainan's strategic location allows it to focus on developing tourism, modern services, and high-tech industries, moving away from traditional trade and manufacturing [7]. - The region is expected to become an international hub for manufacturing, research, healthcare, and education, providing high-quality cross-border services without the need to leave the country [22]. Group 5: Broader Implications - Hainan's closure signifies a proactive opening window for China amidst global challenges, aiming to diversify the Asia-Pacific economic landscape [24]. - The initiative reflects a shift in global development models, encouraging countries to adapt to new rules rather than cling to outdated paths [26].