高盛看好商汤科技生成式AI布局,预测2026年扭亏为盈

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs maintains a "buy" rating for SenseTime, setting a 12-month target price of HKD 3.53, based on the company's technological advantages in generative AI, product innovation, and market potential [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts that the revenue contribution from generative AI will reach 91% by 2030, with an expected EBITDA of RMB 205 million turning positive by 2026 [1][4] Group 2 - SenseTime has launched several new generative AI products, including Seko 2.0, "Xiao Huan Xiong 3.0" office AI, and "Ru Ying" marketing AI, which enhance content generation capabilities and demonstrate significant cost advantages [2][3] - The Seko 2.0 product features a proprietary real-time video generation architecture, LightX2V, which can reduce production cycles for episodic content by 80%-90% compared to traditional methods [2] - The "Xiao Huan Xiong 3.0" office AI can generate high-quality PPTs and process large-scale data in seconds, with Goldman Sachs forecasting the office software market to reach USD 17 billion by 2030, driven by generative AI functionalities [3] - The "Ru Ying" marketing AI enhances operational efficiency in live e-commerce through a matrix of agents, automating backend processes and improving data analysis efficiency by six times [3] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs employs a two-stage DCF model and 2026 EV/Sales ratio to assess SenseTime's long-term growth potential, indicating a 73% upside from the current stock price [4] - By the first half of 2025, the revenue contribution from generative AI is expected to reach 77%, with a significant increase to 91% by 2030, highlighting the strong growth driver for SenseTime's future performance [4] - The EBITDA is projected to turn positive in 2026 at RMB 205 million, with further growth to RMB 1.119 billion by 2027 [4]