Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-29 15:31Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by the U.S. to impose tariffs on Chinese semiconductors is seen as an attempt to hinder China's chip development, but it may inadvertently accelerate China's advancements in the semiconductor industry [1][3]. Group 1: Tariff Announcement and Implications - The U.S. has announced a 0% tariff on Chinese semiconductor imports, with plans to increase tariffs starting in June 2027, leaving an 18-month window [3][5]. - This delay suggests that the U.S. is concerned about its domestic companies losing access to the Chinese market while trying to curb China's chip development [5][7]. Group 2: China's Semiconductor Industry Response - China's semiconductor industry, particularly in mature process chips, is reportedly thriving despite U.S. tariffs, with a 30% increase in foundry prices for 14nm processes [9][11]. - The demand for automotive chips in China is projected to exceed 120 billion units by 2025, with domestic self-sufficiency rising from 5% in 2020 to 18% [13][14]. Group 3: Equipment and Technological Advancements - Chinese companies are experiencing significant breakthroughs in semiconductor equipment, with orders for equipment extending to 2027 and a 25% increase in production capacity for major foundries [11][16]. - A Shenzhen laboratory has reportedly developed a prototype EUV lithography machine, a significant advancement in semiconductor manufacturing technology [18][22]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Market Dynamics - The collaborative efforts across China's semiconductor industry are expected to yield a functional EUV chip by 2028, significantly faster than previous global timelines [22][26]. - The U.S. tariffs may ultimately serve as a catalyst for China's semiconductor advancements, as historical trends show that restrictions often lead to accelerated innovation [31][32].