百度集团-SW(09888.HK):全栈AI 云+芯+ROBOTAXI重估(百度深度之三)
Ge Long Hui·2025-12-29 21:45

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the acceleration of AI cloud revenue in China, with major internet companies like Alibaba and Tencent increasing their AI capital expenditures starting from Q3 2024, with projected capital expenditures and revenues exceeding 10% in the first three quarters of 2025, approaching the levels of overseas cloud providers in 2023 [1] - Baidu is advancing its AI full-stack construction, with its intelligent cloud business experiencing rapid growth. In Q3 2025, Baidu's AI cloud revenue reached 6.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 33% in AI infrastructure revenue and a 128% increase in accelerator subscription revenue [1] - Baidu's intelligent cloud revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 19.33 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31%, with cloud revenue accounting for 37% of Baidu's core revenue [1] Group 2 - Baidu's self-developed AI chip, Kunlun, is expected to enter a phase of significant volume production, with a product matrix established from cloud to data center. The Tianchi 32 and 64 super nodes were launched in 2025, and the Tianchi 512 super node is set to be released in 2026 [2] - In the field of intelligent driving, Baidu's order volume has significantly increased, with over 310,000 orders in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 200%. The company is benefiting from enhanced economies of scale and reduced costs, achieving positive profitability per vehicle [2] - The company has a comprehensive technology system for "car, road, cloud, and map," and is expanding its presence in high-value overseas markets such as Europe and the Middle East [2] Group 3 - The company has upgraded its rating to "Buy," projecting overall revenues for Baidu Group to be 128.5 billion yuan, 133.1 billion yuan, and 141 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of -3%, 4%, and 6% [3] - Using the SOTP valuation method, the overall target valuation for the group is set at 430.2 billion yuan, corresponding to a target price of 172.54 HKD per share [3]