华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio | 2025年12月30日

Market Overview - Precious metals and U.S. stocks experienced a pullback, with major tech stocks like Tesla, Nvidia, and Meta declining due to reduced bets by traders ahead of year-end [1] - Tesla's stock fell by 3.27%, leading the decline among major tech stocks, as its supply contract with South Korea's L&F was reduced by 99% [29] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 1.75 basis points to 4.11%, while the dollar remained stable [1] - Bitcoin briefly surged above $90,000 before dropping back below $87,000, and Ethereum also saw a significant reversal [1] - Silver prices dropped over 8% after briefly surpassing $80, marking a significant decline [1] - WTI crude oil rose by 1.6% [1] Digital Currency - The People's Bank of China announced that a new digital RMB framework will officially launch on January 1, 2026, transitioning from digital cash to digital deposit money [2][18] - The digital RMB will be a modern digital payment method with attributes of commercial bank liabilities, compatible with distributed ledger technology [18][19] Silver Market - Reports suggest that a systemically important bank faced a margin call due to a short position in silver futures, leading to speculation about a European bank's involvement [3][19] - The National Investment Silver LOF warned investors about the risks of investing in high premium funds, as its net asset value lagged behind silver futures [19] - Analysts highlighted potential short-term risks for silver, including tax-driven year-end selling and a strong dollar [20] AI and Tech Companies - Meta is set to acquire Manus for several billion dollars, marking its third-largest acquisition to date [10][21] - Michael Burry has taken a short position against Nvidia and Palantir, arguing that the AI hype mirrors the internet bubble [22] - The upcoming CES in Las Vegas will be crucial for AI hardware companies to demonstrate real consumer value [22] Stock Market Predictions - Wall Street analysts predict that the S&P 500 will continue to rise in 2026, with no bearish outlook among strategists [8][21] - Concerns were raised about the potential risks of widespread optimism in the market [21] Robotics and Automation - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see significant growth, with a projected increase in global shipments by over seven times in 2026 [31] - The opening of offline stores for humanoid robots is anticipated to enhance product iteration and standardization [31] Other Notable Developments - Semiconductor companies are expected to benefit from the ongoing "super cycle" in memory demand driven by AI [28] - The logistics sector is set to undergo standardization improvements as part of a national initiative [33]