Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-30 02:05Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan forecasts significant revenue and profit growth for Zoomlion (000157) from 2025 to 2027, indicating a strong investment opportunity due to undervaluation compared to peers [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenue for Zoomlion in 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected to be 53.264 billion, 61.667 billion, and 70.777 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 17.12%, 15.78%, and 14.77% respectively [1]. - Anticipated net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is forecasted at 4.849 billion, 6.30078 billion, and 7.841 billion yuan, with growth rates of 37.72%, 29.93%, and 24.46% respectively [1]. - The report suggests a target market capitalization of 92.1 billion yuan for 2026 based on a 15x PE ratio, indicating a potential upside of 57% from the current market cap of 58.8 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Zoomlion, originally established as Changsha Construction Machinery Research Institute, has evolved into a leading brand in the engineering machinery sector, with a diversified business model that includes concrete machinery, lifting machinery, and agricultural machinery [2]. - The company has developed a comprehensive product portfolio that includes 15 major categories and 745 product models, supported by 29 domestic industrial parks and 10 overseas R&D and manufacturing bases [2]. - Zoomlion has pursued globalization through overall listing, overseas factories, and quality asset acquisitions, positioning itself as a pioneer in the internationalization of Chinese engineering machinery [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - In the domestic market, there are signs of recovery in the real estate sector, with construction equipment utilization rates improving, indicating a potential stabilization in infrastructure investment growth starting in 2026 [3]. - The overseas market shows positive trends, with North America nearing the end of inventory reduction and improved new orders, while demand in Europe remains stable, driven by electric products [3]. - Strong demand for mining, infrastructure, and real estate in regions like Africa and Latin America is expected to contribute to sales growth, with a potential resonance between domestic and international markets in 2026 [3]. Group 4: Product and Market Strategy - Zoomlion is diversifying its revenue sources, with the share of income from cranes and concrete machinery decreasing from over 75% to around 50%, while other products like earth-moving machinery and agricultural equipment are contributing to growth [4]. - The company is implementing a comprehensive overseas strategy that includes establishing over 30 primary business hubs and more than 430 secondary and tertiary outlets, employing around 5,000 local staff [4]. - Embracing the trend of general artificial intelligence, Zoomlion is advancing the application of embodied intelligence in engineering machinery, agricultural machinery, and special equipment, aiming to create a third growth curve [4].