Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-30 02:46Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a price surge driven by increased demand from AI applications and supply constraints, particularly in the storage and wafer sectors [3][6]. Group 1: Semiconductor Price Trends - The NAND flash wafer prices increased by over 10% in December, while SSD prices rose by 15%-20% [3]. - Major international storage suppliers have raised HBM3E prices by nearly 20% for 2026 [3]. - The current price uptrend is attributed to high demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and large-capacity storage, coupled with a structural shift in production towards high-end products [3][6]. Group 2: Semiconductor Equipment Market - The global semiconductor equipment market is projected to reach $133 billion by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 13.7%, and is expected to continue growing to $145 billion in 2026 and $156 billion in 2027 [6][11]. - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has seen significant inflows, indicating strong investor interest in the sector [1][12]. - The ETF focuses on companies with high exposure to semiconductor equipment, materials, and integrated circuit design, with nearly 60% of its index comprising equipment [12]. Group 3: Domestic Semiconductor Development - The domestic semiconductor equipment sector is expected to accelerate growth in orders by 2026, driven by the expansion of storage and advanced processes [8]. - The domestic semiconductor equipment industry has achieved significant progress in replacing mature processes with local alternatives since 2019 [11]. - The focus on domestic substitution is not only in equipment but also in chip design and manufacturing processes [8][11].