Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-30 03:59Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the copper market is experiencing strong demand and supply mismatch, with optimistic economic expectations supporting price increases, while caution is advised regarding short-term price volatility [1][2][3] - On December 26, major metal prices surged, with COMEX copper rising by 4.96% to $5.8515 per pound and Shanghai copper increasing by 3.33% to 101,380 yuan per ton, marking a new historical high [1][2] - Factors contributing to the strong market sentiment include supply chain disruptions, resource nationalism, and a gradual economic recovery in major economies, leading to a strong willingness to buy copper [2] Group 2 - The economic outlook for 2026 is moderately optimistic, with the Federal Reserve projecting GDP growth of 2.1%-2.5%, which is expected to support industrial metal demand and further increase copper prices [3] - Despite the positive outlook, there are concerns about inflation and potential impacts on Federal Reserve interest rate policies, which could affect copper prices [3] - Investment recommendations include leading industrial metal companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Western Mining, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Yunnan Copper, Jiangxi Copper, and Jincheng Mining [3]