Group 1 - The GBP/USD pair has shown a mild increase to around 1.3510 during the early European session, continuing its recent strong trend supported by both fundamental and technical factors, while also considering the impact of market liquidity changes ahead of the holidays [1] - The Bank of England has lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75% during the December monetary policy meeting, with Governor Andrew Bailey indicating a cautious approach to future rate decisions based on economic data [2] - Market participants are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, with the December meeting minutes expected to provide short-term guidance, while overall trading volume is anticipated to remain light due to the upcoming New Year holidays [2] Group 2 - The daily chart indicates that GBP/USD is currently holding above the 100-day moving average, which is positioned around 1.3335, providing foundational support, while also trading above the 20-day moving average, confirming short-term trend support [4] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 69.87, nearing the overbought territory, suggesting a need to monitor momentum changes after the recent upward movement [4] - The Bollinger Bands show that the upper resistance is at 1.3550, with prices currently running just below this level, indicating reduced market volatility but dominant buying pressure [4] Group 3 - The overall technical structure for GBP/USD leans bullish, with a key resistance level at 1.3550 that, if broken, could extend the upward trend, while the support area at 1.3410 needs to be monitored [5] - The decline in liquidity due to the holidays may amplify market volatility, and the FOMC meeting minutes are noteworthy for market participants [5] - As long as prices remain above the major moving averages, the technical outlook continues to support bullish sentiment [5]
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Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-30 07:13