牛津经济研究院预测,波兰将在2026年继续保持中东欧经济增长的领先地位
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan·2025-12-30 08:14

Core Insights - Poland is projected to remain the economic growth leader in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) by 2026, despite facing fiscal challenges [1] - The GDP growth rate for the CEE region is expected to accelerate by 0.3 percentage points to 2.7% by 2026, with uneven growth across different economies [1] - Domestic demand is anticipated to be the main driver of economic growth, although its fundamentals may slightly weaken [1] Economic Performance - Poland will continue to exhibit remarkable economic growth, followed by the Czech Republic in second place [1] - Other CEE economies, including Hungary, Slovakia, and Romania, are expected to have growth rates not exceeding 2% next year [1] - All five CEE economies (Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, Romania) are projected to significantly outpace the Eurozone's average growth rate of 0.9% by 2026 [1] Fiscal Policy and Monetary Factors - Fiscal policy will be a key determinant of economic performance and risk perception in the CEE region for the upcoming year [1] - The fundamental factors for currencies in the region are expected to remain favorable through 2026 [1]