大行评级|大摩:氧化铝产能整合有利于行业龙头中国铝业和中国宏桥
Ge Long Hui·2025-12-30 08:25

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued an article titled "Vigorously Promoting the Optimization and Upgrading of Traditional Industries," which emphasizes the management and optimization of the alumina and copper smelting industries, encouraging large backbone enterprises in these sectors to pursue mergers and acquisitions [1] Industry Summary - The new policy may restrict the planning of new alumina production capacity, which is expected to benefit industry leaders such as China Aluminum and China Hongqiao [1] - The anticipated lower annual copper concentrate processing/refining fees and long-term contract concentrate volumes may indicate a reduction in refined copper production by 2026 [1] - These factors, combined with relatively stable demand, are expected to support copper prices at high levels, benefiting companies like Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Minmetals Resources, and Jiangxi Copper [1]