Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-30 14:46Core Viewpoint - The Chinese chip industry has made significant strides, particularly in the mid-range segment, with the ability to produce 28nm chips at competitive prices, disrupting the market previously dominated by Western companies [1][3][12]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - SMIC has set a price of $1,500 for 28nm chips, significantly undercutting the previous market price of $2,500, which has led to a surge in orders from Asia [3][12]. - The decline in prices is attributed to a fully domestic supply chain, improved production efficiency, and increased output, allowing China to capture market share in the mid-range segment while Western companies focus on high-end products [3][19]. - The global chip market is experiencing a shake-up as China's pricing strategy forces Western companies to reconsider their positions, with ASML's stock dropping 16% due to fears of losing market share [5][14]. Group 2: Impact on Western Companies - European and American companies are increasingly reliant on the Chinese market, particularly in the electric vehicle chip sector, which is projected to reach $17.6 billion by 2027 [5][17]. - The U.S. Department of Commerce has added 140 Chinese entities to its control list, indicating a strategy to restrict China's technological advancements, but this has prompted China to accelerate its domestic production capabilities [7][23]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with Chinese companies aiming for a self-sufficiency target of 70% by 2025, reducing reliance on foreign chips [11][19]. Group 3: Future Outlook - China's chip self-sufficiency has increased from 30% in 2019 to nearly 40%, with a strong focus on expanding production and exports, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [25][26]. - The semiconductor market is expected to undergo significant changes, with China's advancements in technology and production capabilities posing a challenge to Western dominance [30]. - The ongoing competition is not a zero-sum game; rather, it represents a reshaping of the global semiconductor landscape, with China poised to play a more prominent role in the future [30].