曾金策12月31日：今日黄金最新行情走势分析及操作建议策略

Market Overview - International gold is experiencing a volatile recovery, influenced by the Federal Reserve's pause on interest rate cuts in January and profit-taking activities [1] - Global central banks are expected to purchase over 1200 tons of gold by 2025, marking a record high for the same period, with China increasing its holdings for 13 consecutive months, providing long-term support [1] - The decline in U.S. inflation and a weak labor market have led to market expectations of three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026, supporting the medium to long-term outlook for gold [1] Technical Analysis - Daily level: The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with MACD showing a golden cross above the zero line, but red bars are decreasing, and RSI is in an overbought pullback state, indicating a need to be cautious of a potential pullback in gold prices [1] - 4-hour level: The Bollinger Bands are also narrowing, with MACD showing a death cross, green bars decreasing, and RSI in an oversold rebound state, suggesting a need to be cautious of a potential short-term rebound in gold prices [1] - 1-hour level: The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with MACD showing a golden cross below the zero line and RSI in an oversold rebound state, indicating a need to be cautious of a potential short-term rebound in gold prices [1] Trading Strategy - For bullish positions: Aggressive traders can rely on a support level of $4150 per ounce, entering long positions around $4165-$4175 after stabilization; conservative traders can rely on a support level of $4000 per ounce, entering long positions around $4025-$4035 [1] - For bearish positions: Aggressive traders can rely on a resistance level of $4400 per ounce, entering short positions around $4395-$4385 after facing resistance; conservative traders can rely on a resistance level of $4550 per ounce, entering short positions around $4545-$4535 [1]