Core Viewpoint - JD Industrial is a leading provider of industrial supply chain technology and services in China, focusing on MRO procurement services and end-to-end supply chain digitalization [1] Group 1: Company Overview - JD Industrial has established itself as the largest participant in the domestic MRO procurement market by 2024, serving 11,100 key enterprise clients and offering approximately 81.1 million SKUs across 80 product categories sourced from around 158,000 suppliers [1] - The company's revenue is primarily derived from industrial product (MRO) sales, with projected revenue of 20.398 billion yuan and adjusted net profit of 909 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 25.4% and 21.9% from 2021 to 2024 [1] - The management team is experienced, with CEO Song Chunzheng having previously incubated JD's enterprise business, driving the digitalization of the industrial supply chain [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - The Chinese industrial supply chain market is the largest globally, projected to reach 11.4 trillion yuan in 2024, with a digitalization penetration rate of only 6.2%, significantly lower than the 15% in the U.S. [2] - The MRO procurement market in China is expected to reach 3.7 trillion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 6.1% from 2019 to 2024, while the digitalized MRO market is projected to grow to 400 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 21.7% during the same period [2] - JD Industrial holds a market share of 4.1% in the domestic industrial supply chain technology and services market, with a mere 0.8% share in the MRO procurement market, indicating significant room for growth as digitalization increases industry concentration [2] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The U.S. MRO industry showcases that leading companies like Grainger and Fastenal have long-term revenue growth outpacing U.S. manufacturing value added, indicating strong competitive advantages for top players [3] - JD Industrial's "Taipu" solution aims to achieve full supply chain digitalization, leveraging its consumer-side supply chain technology to establish high customer switching costs and enhance its collective procurement and digital service capabilities [3] Group 4: Financial Performance and Projections - JD Industrial operates with a light asset model and high turnover, achieving an inventory turnover rate of 24 times in 2024, significantly outperforming comparable domestic and international companies [3] - The company anticipates adjusted net profits of 1.096 billion, 1.735 billion, and 2.301 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 20.5%, 58.4%, and 32.6% respectively, with a target PE of 30, 19, and 14 times [4] - Based on a comparable company average valuation of 24 times PE, the target market value for JD Industrial is estimated at 41.2 billion yuan, indicating a 24% upside potential from current levels [4]
京东工业(07618.HK)：国内领先工业供应链服务提供商 数智化基础设施打造长期竞争优势