智利央行提高2026年GDP增长预期

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Chile has revised its GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026, indicating a positive outlook for the economy driven by increased market demand and investment in fixed assets, particularly in the mining and energy sectors [1] Economic Growth Projections - The GDP growth for 2025 is set at 2.4%, while the forecast for 2026 has been raised from a range of 1.75%-2.75% to 2%-3% [1] - For 2027, the GDP growth is expected to remain in the range of 1.5%-2.5% [1] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment is projected to grow by 7% in 2025, 4.9% in 2026, and 3.1% in 2027, with significant contributions from large mining and energy projects [1] - Private consumption is expected to recover, with growth rates of 2.5% for 2025-2026 and 2% for 2027 [1] Labor Market and Inflation - The labor market shows slight improvement, although the unemployment rate remains above historical averages [1] - Inflation is forecasted to decrease to 3.5% in 2025 and 3.2% in 2026 [1] Monetary Policy - The neutral monetary policy interest rate is set between 3.75% and 4.75%, with a reference midpoint of 4.25% for analysis [1]