Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's economic outlook indicates a slight acceleration in real GDP growth by 2028, supported by improved financial market conditions and enhanced potential output growth [1] Group 1: GDP Growth Projections - Real GDP growth is expected to be above potential growth rates by 2028, primarily due to diminishing negative impacts from high tariffs and continued support from fiscal policy and financial market conditions [1] - The forecast for GDP growth in 2025 and 2026 is slightly lower than the predictions made in October, while the projections for 2027 and 2028 remain consistent with previous estimates [1] Group 2: Unemployment Rate Expectations - The unemployment rate is anticipated to gradually decline after this year, reaching a level slightly below the natural rate estimated by staff by 2027 [1] Group 3: Inflation Forecasts - Staff projections for inflation in 2025 and 2026 are slightly lower compared to the forecasts presented in October, while the inflation outlook for 2027 and 2028 aligns with earlier predictions [1]
美联储工作人员的经济增速预测较10月份有所加快
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-30 21:33