Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China Oriental Education (00667) is expected to see adjusted net profits of 800 million, 1.02 billion, and 1.26 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, indicating a recovery in growth and profitability, with a target price of 10.16 HKD per share based on a 20x PE ratio for 2026 [1] - The company has been a leader in vocational education for over 30 years, starting with culinary training and expanding into four major training sectors, with a projected revenue of 4.12 billion and 2.19 billion yuan for 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 3.5% and 10.2% [1] - The adjusted net profit for 2024 and the first half of 2025 is expected to be 530 million and 400 million yuan, reflecting significant year-on-year increases of 86.6% and 48.4% [1] Group 2 - The vocational skills training industry is characterized by strong employment orientation and sustainable demand growth, with a large potential student base, primarily focusing on blue-collar talent development in the service sector [2] - The competitive landscape of the industry is fragmented, with clear differentiation among leading companies in various segments [2] - The company maintains a positive cycle of teaching research, employment services, and operational recruitment, achieving over 90% employment rates for its graduates through continuous research and practical-oriented teaching [3] Group 3 - Future prospects include positive development across various brands and the anticipated impact of regional centers, with New Oriental and Xinhua entering a phase of improvement and structural optimization [4] - The high school graduate demographic is expected to become a significant source of new students, with a projected increase of 8,540 training participants in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 85.4% [4] - The establishment of regional centers since 2022 is expected to enhance the company's overall educational capacity and profitability [4]
广发证券:维持中国东方教育“买入”评级 合理价值10.16港元