俄分析人士：若公投，大多数俄罗斯人会支持对欧洲和乌克兰核打击

Group 1 - Russian political analyst Sergey Mikhayev suggested that a majority of Russians would support nuclear strikes against Europe and Ukraine if a national referendum were held, indicating a hardline stance that aims to pressure the West [1][5][7] - Mikhayev's comments coincided with a meeting between Trump and Zelensky discussing a peace framework, which raises concerns about the timing of such nuclear threats as a tactic to disrupt diplomatic efforts [3][7] - The Kremlin's strategy appears to be a dual approach of negotiating terms while simultaneously showcasing military strength, as evidenced by recent nuclear exercises and missile deployments in Belarus [5][6][7] Group 2 - Public opinion in Russia shows a significant shift, with only 25% supporting continued conflict and 66% favoring negotiations, indicating a growing war fatigue among the populace [2][5] - Mikhayev's rhetoric is seen as an attempt to rally domestic support and distract from internal dissatisfaction due to economic pressures and conscription issues [2][5][6] - The deployment of advanced missile systems in Belarus and the emphasis on nuclear deterrence are part of a broader strategy to assert military capability and influence European security dynamics [5][6]