Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-31 07:33Core Viewpoint - The liquid packaging industry is experiencing a positive development trend with simultaneous growth in revenue scale and profitability, driven by structural changes in domestic beverage consumption and the rise of health-conscious products [1][3]. Domestic Market - Significant structural changes in domestic beverage consumption have occurred, with rapid development of sugar-free drinks, tea beverages, and functional drinks, leading to increased demand for equipment [2][3]. - The domestic market is entering an expansion cycle post-2019, with fierce competition expected to continue, resulting in stable growth [2][3]. - The average annual growth rate of China's packaging machinery industry is projected to be around 8% during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with an average profitability growth rate of 7% for industry players [2]. Overseas Market - Emerging markets have shown overall growth in the past decade, with accelerated growth post-pandemic, particularly in India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, driven by rising consumer spending [3]. - Chinese companies are benefiting from significant cost advantages and after-sales service, leading to accelerated export growth, despite currently low market share in overseas markets [3][4]. Competitive Advantages of Domestic Manufacturers - Domestic equipment has lower acquisition and long-term maintenance costs compared to brands from Europe, the US, and Japan, with efficient logistics and production timelines that meet the needs of emerging markets [4]. - Domestic enterprises have the capability to provide highly customized products and stable technical services, which are essential for meeting the demands of new markets [4]. - The trend of global investment favoring emerging countries and the upgrading of the food and beverage industry in countries like Vietnam and Indonesia creates ongoing demand for packaging equipment [4]. Recommended Stocks - Companies to watch include Dali Long (002209.SZ), Xin Meixing (300509.SZ), Yongchuang Intelligent (603901.SH), and Zhongya Co., Ltd. (300512.SZ) [4].