Group 1 - The USD/CAD exchange rate is fluctuating around the key level of 1.3700, currently reported at 1.3706, with a slight increase of 0.05% [1] - The USD index has risen slightly, reaching a one-week high of 98.3429, with a gain of 0.09% [3] - The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes indicate a completed 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate target range to 3.50% to 3.75%, with a majority of officials supporting further rate cuts if inflation decreases as expected [3] Group 2 - The Canadian dollar is relatively stable, with market expectations that the Bank of Canada will not adjust interest rates in the short term, maintaining the current benchmark rate at 2.25% [3] - The Bank of Canada's recent meeting minutes reflect uncertainty regarding future rate adjustments due to U.S. trade policy and economic data fluctuations, leading to a decision to maintain current rates to stabilize inflation [3] - The technical analysis shows that the USD/CAD is in a high-level consolidation pattern, with the price oscillating around the 1.37 mark, indicating a balance of buying and selling forces [4] Group 3 - The current movement of the USD/CAD is influenced more by year-end market liquidity decline and position adjustments rather than significant changes in fundamentals [6] - The Federal Reserve retains the space for further rate cuts but is cautious in its approach, while the Bank of Canada maintains a wait-and-see attitude, resulting in limited divergence in monetary policies between the two countries [6] - The USD/CAD is likely to continue its oscillation within the range of 1.3650 to 1.3750 until macroeconomic data and central bank policy signals become clearer in the new year [6]
TMGM外汇平台：美元/加元于1.37附近窄幅整理 年末市场交投清淡
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-31 08:42