欧美联手贬值逼人民币升值？中国将计就计反杀：他们不得不买

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the appreciation of the RMB against the USD is seen as a sign of China's strength, while its depreciation against the Euro raises questions about the motives behind the pressure from the West [1][3] - Major investment banks suggest that if the RMB does not appreciate, it could disrupt global balance, reminiscent of the Plaza Accord from 40 years ago [5][6] - The strategy of competitive devaluation by the West aims to make the USD and Euro cheaper, forcing the RMB to appreciate, which could harm China's export competitiveness [6][8] Group 2 - Despite the RMB's appreciation against the USD, it has depreciated against the Euro, leading to a dual exchange rate scenario that allows Chinese companies to pivot their exports towards Europe and ASEAN [12][14] - Data shows that from January to November 2025, China's exports to the US decreased by nearly 19%, while exports to the EU increased by 8.1%, indicating a shift in market focus [14][23] - The Chinese government has intervened to prevent price wars and encouraged companies to raise prices, allowing them to recover losses from currency fluctuations [18][19] Group 3 - The situation highlights a struggle for global pricing power, with the Chinese government taking a strong stance against price cuts [19][21] - Despite Western pressures, Chinese manufacturers are finding ways to maintain their market presence and profitability, as evidenced by a trade surplus exceeding $1 trillion [23][25] - The US and Europe are increasingly reliant on Chinese goods, as they face challenges in rebuilding their own supply chains, leading to a paradox where they need Chinese products despite imposing tariffs [21][27] Group 4 - China holds significant advantages, including a complete industrial supply chain, substantial foreign exchange reserves of $3.3 trillion, and the accelerating internationalization of the RMB [27][29][31] - The central bank emphasizes the importance of stable exchange rates that serve the real economy rather than merely showcasing national strength [31]