2025银行股业绩梳理

Core Viewpoint - The A-share banking sector experienced a year of volatility in 2025, with an overall increase of 7%, which is significantly lower than the 34.39% gain in 2024, yet many individual bank stocks reached historical highs [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - By the end of 2025, 35 out of 42 bank stocks in the sector recorded gains, with 20 banks hitting historical highs and 21 banks increasing by over 10%, while 6 banks saw gains exceeding 20% [1][6]. - Agricultural Bank of China saw a remarkable stock price increase of over 52% during the year, briefly surpassing Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) in market capitalization [1][3]. - ICBC maintained its position as the "king of stocks" with a market capitalization of 2.63 trillion yuan and a stock price increase of 21.54% [1][3]. Group 2: IPO Market - The A-share IPO market for banks remained stagnant in 2025, with no new listings, as several banks, including Guangzhou Bank, withdrew their applications [2][11]. - The only banks still in the IPO queue are Dongguan Bank, Huzhou Bank, Hubei Bank, Jiangsu Kunshan Rural Commercial Bank, and Guangdong Nanhai Rural Commercial Bank [11]. Group 3: Investment Trends - Long-term funds, particularly insurance capital, have been actively purchasing bank stocks, with insurance companies holding 382.5 million shares valued at 37.976 billion yuan by the end of Q3 2025 [8]. - The "stock accumulation for dividends" strategy has gained popularity among investors, with 28 out of 42 listed banks offering dividend yields above 4% [7][8]. Group 4: Capital Support - In 2025, state-owned banks received significant capital injections, with a total of approximately 520 billion yuan raised through targeted placements to enhance their capital structure [10]. - Meanwhile, smaller banks attracted investments from foreign and local state-owned enterprises, although the IPO process remains challenging for most [10][11].