2026，中国航天将在“狂飙”与“悬念”中挺进深空

Core Insights - The global space industry experienced significant activity in 2025, with a total of 327 orbital launches, achieving a success rate of 97% [1] - China conducted 92 orbital launches, with 90 successful missions, highlighting its growing capabilities in space exploration [1] Group 1: Launch Successes and Failures - The Falcon 9 rocket achieved 165 successful launches out of 165 attempts, maintaining its position as the world's leading launch vehicle [3] - The Starship-Superheavy program faced multiple failures in 2025, including three significant incidents that resulted in explosions during test flights [3][4][5] - Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket successfully completed its second flight, marking it as the second company to recover an orbital-class rocket [9] Group 2: Challenges in Space Exploration - The Starship-Superheavy system's delays and reliability issues have raised concerns about its role in NASA's Artemis program, with critics suggesting it may require 20 to 40 launches to support a crewed lunar landing [7] - Russia's space program faced operational challenges, including the inability to launch crewed missions due to platform damage, raising questions about its future capabilities [11] - India's GSLV rocket faced a significant failure with the NVS-02 satellite, which was left in an unusable orbit due to a technical oversight [13][14] Group 3: Developments in Chinese Space Programs - China's space program made strides with the successful first flights of the Zhuque-3 and Long March 12 rockets, although both faced challenges during recovery attempts [16][21] - The Chinese manned space program is advancing towards lunar missions, with significant infrastructure developments nearing completion [21] - The Chinese space station encountered a major crisis when a spacecraft window was damaged, leading to an emergency rescue mission [22] Group 4: Future Prospects - The upcoming year, 2026, is anticipated to be another significant year for space exploration, with multiple planned launches and missions, including the Chang'e 7 lunar mission [29][30]