2025年 中国为世界经济增长贡献重要力量

Core Viewpoint - The global economy is expected to experience a slowdown in growth in 2025, with ongoing pressures from trade, investment, and supply chains, amidst geopolitical tensions that create uncertainty for recovery [1][4]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Trends - The United Nations report indicates that global economic growth expectations for 2025 are significantly lower than previous years, with a notable decline from 2.9% in 2024, reflecting an overall slowdown in economic momentum [4]. - The international trade sector is under pressure due to uncertainties in trade policies and rising tariffs, leading companies to delay investment decisions, which in turn affects global supply chains [4]. - Emerging markets and developing economies are showing relative resilience due to internal demand and growth potential, while the digital economy and green technology investments are becoming key drivers for future growth [5]. Group 2: Geopolitical Dynamics - The relationship between the US and Europe is undergoing structural adjustments, revealing increasing complexities in areas such as industrial policy, trade rules, and energy transition, which puts additional pressure on the multilateral trade system [6]. - Germany's Chancellor has indicated that Europe must prepare for fundamental changes in its relationship with the US, reflecting a desire for greater strategic autonomy in the face of external uncertainties [6]. Group 3: Global Cooperation and Challenges - The UN Secretary-General emphasizes the need for enhanced global cooperation to coordinate trade policies, stabilize investment environments, and promote peace negotiations, which are essential for achieving sustainable development goals [7]. - Despite the resilience of the global economy, the slowdown in growth dynamics and ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to create uncertainty for development, necessitating dialogue and cooperation among nations to address these challenges [7].