2026大势前瞻丨15位智库学者寄语“十五五”开局之年（三）

Group 1 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is positioned as a crucial period for building a modern socialist country, following the solid foundation laid during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" will focus on high-quality development, addressing new economic and social structural changes, such as real estate market adjustments and demographic shifts [3][4] - The plan emphasizes a problem-oriented approach, reflecting strategic adjustments and policy responses from the government [3] Group 2 - In 2026, the implementation of major strategic deployments will include promoting innovation, developing new productive forces, and improving urbanization [4] - The economic growth target for 2026 is to achieve qualitative improvements and reasonable quantitative growth through increased consumption and effective investment [4][12] - The focus will be on enhancing domestic demand and ensuring the stability of employment, businesses, and market expectations [15] Group 3 - The economic policies will include more proactive fiscal measures and moderately loose monetary policies to support the real economy [9][12] - Innovation will be the primary driver of development, with a focus on integrating artificial intelligence with manufacturing and promoting green transformation [9][12] - The construction of a unified national market and the deepening of institutional reforms will be prioritized to enhance development vitality [12][15] Group 4 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to address external challenges while ensuring internal economic stability, emphasizing the importance of reform and innovation [10][13] - The plan will also focus on expanding high-level opening-up and effectively managing international economic relations [15]