2026年，你会把钱放在哪里？

Stock Market - The A-share market is expected to see a continuous improvement in net profits of listed companies, with an estimated growth rate of 4.8% for the year 2026, driven by the gradual implementation of domestic demand policies [4] - Structural opportunities are anticipated to become the norm in the market, with a potential for a "low volatility, steady rise" trend in indices [4] Gold - The bull market for gold may not have ended, as the Federal Reserve's policies and the U.S. economy have not yet shown a turning point; however, it is advised to focus on the timing of asset trend changes rather than specific price predictions [7] - In early 2026, U.S. inflation is expected to rise, which may temporarily suppress gold performance, but a potential shift in the Fed's policy in the second half of 2026 could support further gold price increases [7] Banking Wealth Management - The growth of wealth management scale is projected to reach approximately 38 trillion yuan in 2026, driven by the migration of deposits to various asset management products [10] - Asset allocation by wealth management subsidiaries is expected to prioritize safety and yield, with an increased proportion of liquid assets and a decrease in bond investments and non-standard assets [10] Bonds - The yield on China's 10-year government bonds is expected to decrease by 10 basis points in 2026, with a maintained fluctuation range of around 30 basis points [13] - Interest rates are anticipated to exhibit a "two-phase" characteristic, with a downward trend expected in the first half of 2026, followed by potential upward pressure in the second half due to rising inflation and improving credit conditions [13] Public Funds - Active equity funds are seen to have both opportunities and potential, with significant improvement in excess returns relative to the market since 2025, although there is a declining trend in fund shares due to profit-taking [16] - The "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" emphasizes performance benchmarks and long-term returns, which, combined with a stable upward trend in A-shares, lays a foundation for the high-quality development of active equity funds [16]