2025港A股终章:“科技牛”叙事东渐,贵金属迎风劲舞!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-01 12:27

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant recovery in 2025, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 27.77%, marking its best annual performance since 2017 [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 23.45%, achieving its best annual performance since its launch in 2020 [1] - The year saw a clear rotation of main themes across quarters, with technology stocks leading in Q1, a shift to domestic demand and innovative pharmaceuticals in Q2, tech stocks again in Q3, and financial stocks performing well in Q4 [1] Group 2: IPO Market and Fund Flows - The Hong Kong IPO market regained the top position globally, with 117 new listings in 2025, a 67.14% increase year-on-year, raising a total of 285.69 billion HKD, a 224.11% increase [8] - 19 A-share companies listed in Hong Kong for secondary listings, raising 139.99 billion HKD, nearly half of the total IPO funds [9] - Southbound capital saw a record net inflow of over 1.41 trillion HKD into Hong Kong stocks, with significant daily net purchases exceeding 100 billion HKD on more than 60 occasions [9] Group 3: A-Share Market Performance - The A-share market also delivered strong results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 18.41% and the ChiNext Index increasing by nearly 50% [10] - The total trading volume in the A-share market surpassed 400 trillion CNY, with daily average trading volume maintaining above 1 trillion CNY, doubling from 2024 [11] - The strongest sectors included non-ferrous metals, communications, and electronics, with annual gains of 92.64%, 87.27%, and 49.40% respectively [13] Group 4: Market Outlook for 2026 - Institutions expect technology growth to remain the main focus for investment in 2026, with a potential "steady then rising" market pattern for A-shares [22] - Goldman Sachs predicts a 38% upside for the Chinese stock market over the next two years, maintaining an overweight rating and targeting 4600 points for the CSI 300 index in 2026 [22]