塞尔维亚2025年GDP增长2%

Economic Growth - Serbia's GDP is projected to grow at a real rate of 2% in 2025 [1] - Most service and industrial activities have shown growth, with retail growing by 4.2%, transportation by 4.7%, and the restaurant sector by 1.5% [1] Sector Performance - Industrial production value increased by 1.0%, with mining up by 4.4% and manufacturing by 1.2% [1] - The construction sector experienced a decline of 8.4% [1] - The energy sector faced a decrease of 2% due to drought affecting hydroelectric reserves [1] - Agriculture saw a slight decline of 0.3% due to adverse weather conditions [1] Inflation and Labor Market - The average inflation rate for 2025 is expected to be 3.8%, with December's inflation rate at 2.8%, aligning with the central bank's target of 3%±1.5% [1] - The labor market remains strong, with nominal wages increasing by 11.2% and real wages by 7.1% [1] - The unemployment rate decreased to 8.2% in the third quarter [1] Trade Performance - Despite weak external demand, Serbia's exports are estimated to grow by 8% in 2025, primarily driven by the automotive sector [1] - Imports are projected to rise by 7.3%, attributed to ongoing imports of raw materials and equipment, as well as increased consumer goods imports due to rising disposable incomes [1]