消失的网红面包，40元吐司如今9.9元甩卖，终究败给了“性价比”

Core Insights - The article discusses the significant decline in the popularity of the "internet celebrity" bakery industry, highlighting that 87,658 bakeries closed in the past year, with an average lifespan of only 32 months for these establishments [3][10][18] Industry Overview - The closure of 85°C stores, including its last location in Jinan, symbolizes the ongoing challenges faced by the internet celebrity bakery sector, which has seen over 40 closures in mainland China this year alone [1][3] - The rapid rise of new bakery brands from 2019 to 2021 was fueled by consumer upgrades and capital investment, leading to a surge in high-end bakery concepts that emphasized aesthetic appeal and social media presence [4][7] Financial Performance - The average gross margin for leading brands in the bakery sector reached over 60%, with some brands achieving a customer price point of 65 yuan and gross margins soaring to 68% [7] - However, rising costs of raw materials, including a doubling of butter prices and a 40% increase in sugar prices, have severely impacted profitability, with net profit margins dropping below 9% for many stores [10][18] Market Dynamics - The shift in consumer behavior towards value and cost-effectiveness has led to a decline in the premium pricing strategy that once characterized the industry, as consumers now prefer lower-priced alternatives [16][18] - The competitive landscape has intensified, with traditional supermarkets and tea brands entering the bakery space, further straining the market for internet celebrity bakeries [14][18] Future Outlook - Despite the challenges, the overall retail market for baked goods in China is projected to grow, reaching 561.42 billion yuan in 2023, with an expected increase to 859.56 billion yuan by 2029, indicating a transition towards a value-driven market [18][20] - Surviving players are adapting by focusing on supply chain efficiencies and offering a range of products to meet diverse consumer needs [20]