Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend in 2026, shifting from "expected overshoot" to "profit realization" as the main driver of market pricing [2][5] - The investment opportunities are identified in the new productivity sectors (electronics, high-end equipment) and midstream manufacturing and upstream resource products [3][5] - The market structure in 2025 showed a significant divergence, with technology growth stocks leading the way, as the Sci-Tech 50 and ChiNext indices rose nearly 40% and about 50% respectively, outperforming blue-chip indices [4] Group 2 - The investment strategy should focus on sectors with strong profit certainty, moving from a narrative-driven approach to one based on profit verification [5][6] - The consumer sector is expected to experience a "structural rise" rather than a full recovery, with traditional consumption facing challenges despite potential rebounds in valuation [6][7] - The recommendation for asset allocation includes prioritizing new productivity sectors and cyclical products benefiting from PPI recovery, while maintaining low-volatility dividend assets as a base [8]
内需消费板块或将“结构性崛起”
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-02 00:20