Ge Long Hui·2026-01-02 04:55Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that the mainland has updated its vehicle trade-in subsidy policy for 2023, shifting from fixed amounts to percentage-based calculations based on vehicle prices [1] Summary by Category Subsidy Policy Changes - The subsidy cap remains unchanged from last year, but eligibility is now based on vehicle price percentages rather than fixed amounts [1] - For scrapping and updating policies, only new energy vehicles priced above 166,700 yuan and fuel vehicles above 150,000 yuan qualify for the maximum subsidy [1] - Under the trade-in policy, only new energy vehicles priced above 187,500 yuan and fuel vehicles above 216,700 yuan are eligible for the maximum subsidy [1] Market Implications - The new subsidy structure may accelerate market consolidation for entry-level models (average price below 160,000 yuan) [1] - Companies like BYD, Geely, and Changan, which have advantages in cost control and higher profit margins from export businesses, may gain a competitive edge in the domestic market compared to smaller, loss-making car manufacturers [1] Commercial Vehicle Subsidies - The subsidies for commercial trucks and urban buses will remain unchanged from last year, which is expected to benefit companies like Yutong Bus and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group [1]