Fundamental Analysis - On January 2, 2026, spot gold showed a slight increase, trading around $4044, up approximately 0.6%, while spot silver rose 1.6% to $72.64 per ounce [1] - The significant rise in gold prices in 2025 was attributed to multiple favorable factors, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, which lowered the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold [1] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, have further enhanced gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, driving investors towards gold amid global uncertainties [1] Market Performance - In 2025, the global precious metals market experienced a historic surge, with gold prices increasing by approximately 64%, marking the largest annual gain since 1979 [3] - Silver outperformed gold with an annual increase of over 147%, while platinum and palladium also saw significant gains of over 126% and 75%, respectively, indicating a strong bull market across the sector [3] - Despite a notable decline in prices at the end of the year, the overall performance of precious metals in 2025 was remarkable, attracting global investor interest [3] Central Bank Activity - Central banks have been strong buyers of gold, diversifying reserves and hedging against inflation and geopolitical risks, with most central banks being net buyers [4] - This structural demand from central banks has contributed to the steady rise in gold prices, alongside significant inflows into gold ETFs, enhancing market liquidity [4] Outlook for 2026 - Analysts maintain an optimistic outlook for 2026, predicting that gold prices could reach $5000 per ounce and silver could hit $100 per ounce, despite potential short-term volatility [5] - The ongoing bull market for precious metals is expected to continue, supported by central bank purchases, miner stockpiling, and speculative interest, alongside persistent geopolitical risks and further easing from the Federal Reserve [5] - The closing price on January 2, 2026, is seen as a critical indicator for future price movements, with a close near the high suggesting continued upward momentum [5]
金荣中国:金价亚盘小幅高开上涨,关注支撑位多单布局方案
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-02 05:51