Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company, Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings Limited (00551), is rated as "outperforming the industry" with a target price of HKD 19.46, corresponding to a 10.5 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 [1] - According to Euromonitor, the global athletic footwear market is projected to reach USD 167.7 billion in 2024, with a forecasted mid-single-digit growth over the next five years [1] - The report highlights that the global athletic footwear market is concentrated, with the top 10 brands expected to account for 57% of the market share by 2025, and Yue Yuen is the largest athletic footwear manufacturer with over 10% shipment share [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to benefit from a reduction in tariff disruptions by 2026, with major brand clients maintaining controllable inventory levels, and brands like Nike accelerating product innovation [1] - The report anticipates stable growth in manufacturing revenue by 2026, supported by improvements in newly built capacity and resolution of uneven capacity utilization issues [1] - The company is expected to see a rebound in performance, driven by proactive optimization of customer numbers and structure, and the development capabilities linked to high-quality brands [2]
中金：首次覆盖裕元集团予“跑赢行业”评级 目标价19.46港元