新加坡发现自己上当了，悔不当初却为时晚矣，20年真心错付美国

Core Viewpoint - Singapore's Prime Minister expressed strong dissatisfaction with the U.S. decision to impose a 10% reciprocal tariff, which undermines the free trade agreement signed 20 years ago, leading to a significant trade deficit of $30 billion with the U.S. [1][3] Group 1: Trade Relations - Singapore is the only ASEAN country with a long-term trade deficit with the U.S., importing significantly more than it exports, with a trade surplus of $2.8 billion for the U.S. in 2024, an increase of nearly 85% from 2023 [3][5] - The U.S. announced a reciprocal tariff policy on April 2, 2025, which was a shock to Singapore, despite the tariff being lower than those imposed on Cambodia and Vietnam [3][5] - Singapore's trade dependency is extremely high, with a trade dependency ratio of 327%, indicating that its total trade volume is more than three times its GDP [5][6] Group 2: Economic Impact - Following the tariff announcement, Singapore's stock market experienced a significant drop, with the Straits Times Index falling 7.5%, marking the largest single-day decline since the 2008 financial crisis [8] - Economic forecasts for Singapore's GDP in Q2 2025 predict a contraction of 2.4%, with a potential risk of technical recession, leading to a downward revision of GDP growth expectations from 1%-3% to 0%-2% [8][10] Group 3: Geopolitical Context - The U.S. tariff policy is seen as a departure from the global trade rules established by the WTO, with implications for Singapore's economic and security balance, which relies on both the U.S. for security and China for economic ties [10][11] - Singapore's former Prime Minister noted that while Singapore is a key security partner of the U.S., it does not consider itself an ally, highlighting the complexities of its geopolitical stance [13] Group 4: ASEAN Response - Malaysia's Prime Minister is seeking a unified response among ASEAN countries to the U.S. tariffs, but significant differences in positions exist, indicating a divided response to U.S. pressure [15][17] - The U.S. has implemented varying tariff rates for different ASEAN countries, with Singapore facing a 10% tariff, while other countries like Thailand and Malaysia face higher rates [17] Group 5: Global Trade Dynamics - The U.S. tariff policy is part of a broader strategy to regain control over supply chains, while China is establishing a free trade zone in Hainan, indicating a shift in global trade dynamics [19][21] - Experts suggest that the disruption caused by U.S. tariffs is prompting countries to seek alternatives to reduce dependence on the U.S., with ASEAN countries exploring regional cooperation and new trade routes [23]