2026年，物价走势会怎样？3个关键信号已出现，普通家庭这样应对

Core Viewpoint - Experts generally predict that consumer prices in 2026 will not experience significant inflation, instead showing a trend of "low and moderate recovery" with CPI expected to rise around 0.8% year-on-year, with a possibility of reaching 2.0% in a reasonable range [1] Group 1: CPI and Consumer Behavior - The CPI year-on-year growth rate has expanded, with November CPI rising by 0.7%, the highest since March 2024, driven mainly by an increase in food prices, particularly fresh vegetables which surged by 14.5% [3] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, remaining above 1% for three consecutive months, indicating a recovery in consumer spending, with prices for household appliances and clothing increasing [3] Group 2: PPI and Industrial Prices - The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month in November, marking two consecutive months of growth, suggesting a gradual recovery in production material prices [4] - Prices in sectors such as coal mining, photovoltaic equipment, and lithium-ion batteries are stabilizing, with emerging industries showing significant upward price trends, which may eventually affect downstream consumer prices [4] Group 3: Policy Impact on Prices - The "anti-involution" policies implemented this year have played a crucial role in stabilizing prices, with accelerated capacity governance in key industries leading to more regulated market competition and a noticeable reduction in price declines in sectors like new energy vehicles and photovoltaic equipment [5] - Continued policy efforts to expand domestic demand and promote consumption are expected to further support price recovery, mitigating risks of deflation or uncontrolled inflation [5]