CATL(SZ:300750) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-04 01:18Domestic New Energy Vehicles - Domestic new energy vehicle sales are expected to reach 16.56 million units by 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.8% [1] - In October 2025, domestic new energy vehicle sales were 1.715 million units, with a month-on-month increase of 20.0% and a year-on-year increase of 32.7% for the cumulative sales from January to October [1][2] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 51.6% in October 2025, up 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [1] Export of New Energy Vehicles - In October 2025, new energy vehicle exports reached 256,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 99.9% [2] - Cumulative exports from January to October 2025 totaled 2.014 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 90.4% [2][10] - The overall automobile export volume in October 2025 was 666,000 units, with a month-on-month increase of 22.9% [2] Trends in Hybrid Models - Hybrid models are trending towards "large battery + small fuel tank," with increased battery capacity per vehicle [3] - The new D19 range-extended model from Leap Motor features an 80.3 kWh battery, achieving a pure electric range of over 500 km and a comprehensive range of 1,300 km [3] - The "old-for-new" vehicle replacement policy has led to significant growth in new energy vehicle sales, with an expected increase of 12.5% in 2026 [3] Global New Energy Vehicle Market - Global new energy vehicle sales are projected to reach 8.14 million units in 2026, with a year-on-year growth of 21.0% [12] - European electric vehicle sales are expected to continue growing due to stringent carbon emission policies, with an anticipated total of 4.87 million units sold in 2026, up 30.0% year-on-year [12] - The U.S. market may face challenges due to the cancellation of electric vehicle tax credits, with a projected decline in sales to 1.6 million units in 2026, down 4.5% year-on-year [13] Battery Production - Global battery production is expected to reach 1,510 GWh in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.33% [15] - Chinese battery manufacturers hold a 60% share of the global market, with CATL maintaining a leading position [15] - The global installed capacity of lithium batteries reached 811.7 GWh in the first nine months of 2025, up 34.7% year-on-year [15] Energy Storage Demand - Domestic energy storage demand is expected to grow significantly due to market-driven factors and capacity pricing policies [16] - The transition from policy-driven to market-driven demand for energy storage is anticipated to enhance internal project returns and stimulate installation [16] - In 2026, the favorable economic conditions for energy storage in Europe and emerging markets are expected to continue [17]