美联储将被迫降息至2.25%？华尔街预言家：今年失业率恐飙至6%

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. economy is expected to face significant challenges in 2026, with a potential severe contraction in the labor market that could weaken economic prospects and compel the Federal Reserve to implement drastic interest rate cuts [1] Labor Market Trends - The unemployment rate in the U.S. has risen from 4% at the beginning of last year to 4.6% by November [1] - The unemployment rate is projected to exceed 5% soon, with a possibility of testing the 6% mark by the end of the year [1] - A recent report indicated that the layoff rate in the U.S. reached 1.2% in October of last year, the highest level in a year, suggesting that the labor market's bottom has been reached and an upward trend is emerging [1] - The trend of layoffs is described as moderately increasing, while the hiring rate is sharply declining [1]