事态开始失控？特朗普动摇了美国国本：美国沦为世界老二已成定局

Economic Impact - The implementation of aggressive tariff policies by the Trump administration led to a 0.3% contraction in the US economy in Q1 2025, marking the first economic decline in three years [1] - The trade deficit reached a historic high of $136.4 billion in 2025 due to increased import prices and supply chain disruptions [1] - The US inflation rate hit 5.2%, while the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates resulted in interest expenditures accounting for 19.7% of federal finances [3] Consumer Behavior - Consumer confidence plummeted to a three-year low, with households facing increased living costs, leading to a surge in bulk purchasing and cross-border online shopping [1] - The middle class experienced a 5% decline in purchasing power, while the bottom half of households saw a 7.3% drop in income [1] Political and Social Climate - The political landscape became increasingly polarized, with significant criticism from Democratic leaders regarding Trump's policies, leading to a decline in public trust in government [1] - Protests erupted across all 50 states, with up to 5 million people participating at the peak against healthcare cuts and immigration policies [1] Global Trade Relations - The unilateral trade policies resulted in a 12% decrease in exports to the US from the EU, and Canada criticized the tariffs for disrupting North American trade [3] - The trend of de-dollarization accelerated, with countries like Saudi Arabia allowing oil transactions in yuan and the EU promoting local currency trade [3] Corporate Sector - Major US companies like Apple and Boeing experienced significant stock price volatility, contributing to a drop in the Dow Jones index from 40,000 to 35,000 [5] - The trade war and economic policies led to a substantial loss in international tourism, with projected losses reaching $29 billion [1] Manufacturing and Technology - China's manufacturing sector demonstrated resilience, increasing its semiconductor production capacity significantly, with a self-sufficiency rate in AI rising to 37% [6] - The global supply chain remained heavily reliant on China, making it difficult for other countries to find alternatives [6] Long-term Trends - The US's global dominance began to wane, with the dollar's share in global reserves declining by 2% and the emergence of a multipolar world order [8] - The economic growth rate of the US lagged behind global averages by 1.2% by the end of 2025, indicating a shift in economic power dynamics [6][8]