美国4.3%的GDP增速，为什么证明“氛围衰退”在历史上站不住脚

Core Insights - The article argues that despite the prevailing narrative of an "atmospheric recession," the actual economic indicators in the U.S. show a steady recovery, warranting a positive assessment of the economy [5]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. GDP experienced a negative growth of -0.6% at the beginning of the year but rebounded to a growth of 3.8% in Q2 and further accelerated to 4.3% in Q3, marking the highest growth rate in two years [3]. - The current unemployment rate stands at 4.6%, the highest since 2021, but historically, this rate is favorable compared to the average of 5.7% since 1950 and a peak of 14.8% in 2020 [3]. - The Federal Reserve's target interest rate is set between 3.5% and 3.75%, with current mortgage rates around 6.3%, which is lower than the historical average of 7.4% since 1971, indicating a relatively low borrowing cost [4]. - The annual inflation rate is approximately 2.7%, which, while above the Fed's target of 2%, is significantly lower than the average of 3.5% over the past 75 years and down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022, suggesting a return to healthier economic conditions [4]. Conclusion - The article concludes that the U.S. economy can still receive an "A-" rating despite the negative sentiments surrounding it, emphasizing the crucial role of small business owners in driving job creation and economic growth [5].